Wednesday, August 02, 2006

5th District Runoff

Right now it seems that everything is going Fallin's way. I think it is very likely that she will win, and big. Now that people can really focus on just two candidates, Cornett's campaign flaws are showing. While Cornett could coast through the 6 way primary just on name ID; the runoff is all about organization. People have only a few reasons to show up. The voters won't show up for the Lt. Gov race and then vote on name ID alone. More likely they will show up for the 5th district race and vote on ID in the Lt. Gov race. Fallin has a strong organization, Cornett does not; the reason is that Cornett entered the race too late to win. His mayoral campaign might be seen as beneficial but it did have to reduce his fundraising potential. Fallin will win, and win big.

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